In a radio interview last week, I gave out six plays on the Super Bowl. Here's how they fared:
Patriots minus the points. LOSS.
The under in the game. WIN.
At least one team to score three consecutive times. WIN.
Neither team to win by exactly 3 points. WIN.
Brady to throw an interception. WIN.
Welker's first reception under 8.5 yards. LOSS.
Overall (using readily available lines):
If betting to win 1 unit on each play: Win 1.8 units; ROI = 16 percent.
If risking 1 unit flat on each play: Win 0.4 units; ROI = 6.7 percent.
